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Stars at Flames
NHL

Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames

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Dallas Stars
▸4
Calgary Flames
3
Final/OTTV FS-SW+, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 4-3 in overtime, Tyler Seguin scoring at 0:24. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 0:24 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.7, CGY 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 28, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 30 of 33 (.909); David Rittich stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Giordano (1 G, 1 A), 2. Gavin Bayreuther (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    G. Bayreuther1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1101111611428
CGYCGY1120721400333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Spezza(5)
    R. Faksa (4), M. Heiskanen (7)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:41
  2. CGY
    G. Hathaway(3)
    M. Jankowski (5), D. Dube (4)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:39

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(10)PPG
    T. Seguin (17), G. Bayreuther (2)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    18:02

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(9)PPG
    E. Lindholm (13), M. Giordano (21)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    9:41
  2. CGY
    M. Giordano(3)
    T. Brodie (8), M. Backlund (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    10:51
  3. DAL
    G. Bayreuther(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    13:15

Overtime

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(8)
    J. Benn (11)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:24

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:08DALEsa Lindell · Interferencedrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 9:43DALGavin Bayreuther · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:23DALEsa Lindell · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:02CGYDillon Dube · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 17:39CGYTravis Hamonic · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

3rd

  • 3:41DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 9:28DALJamie Benn · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDAL goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, OT 0:24 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.23T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.12J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.11M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.11M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCGY
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL51%49%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
6
26
Blocked shots
6
14
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000-130.06134—24:49
4M. HeiskanenD011010.02050—24:38
45R. PolakD000010.09210—23:09
44G. BayreutherD112+110.07122—20:32
91T. SeguinC112+220.570005819:52
47A. RadulovR000+130.17030—18:46
14J. BennL112+220.381342016:49
15B. ComeauL000020.32120—15:53
13M. JanmarkC000020.08000015:50
16J. DickinsonC000020.180109015:40
17D. ShoreC000-110.20030015:40
42T. FedunD000+100.00010—15:00
90J. SpezzaC101-110.230005612:50
24R. HintzC000-210.010004012:28
12R. FaksaC011+120.171002512:09
39J. HanleyD000010.03110—11:17
18T. PitlickC000020.12110009:57
43V. NichushkinR000010.03100—08:11
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)33303.9092.61-0.3959:53

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).