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Hurricanes at Blue Jackets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
0
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-0. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Savard's goal at 5:54 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 1.4; shots on goal were CAR 46, CBJ 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 1.1 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 46 of 46 (1.000), 3.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (46 saves, 1.000), 2. Adam McQuaid (1 G), 3. Josh Anderson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Bobrovsky46 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    A. McQuaid1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Anderson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR014022010046
CBJCBJ2140214320

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    A. McQuaid(3)
    A. Panarin (50), C. Atkinson (26)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:08
  2. CBJ
    D. Savard(5)
    B. Jenner (20)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:54

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    J. Anderson(24)EN
    S. Jones (33)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    17:21

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:53CARGreg McKegg · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min

3rd

  • 10:36CBJDavid Savard · Holdingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 16:53CBJDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCAR goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: David Savard, 1st 5:54 — CBJ 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.48S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.03S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.01A. McQuaid · Goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · Goal · xG 0.01A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01
CBJ3 G · 1.4 xG · 23 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCBJ
3.50 G
All situations
2 G1.4
3.00 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR89%11%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 0.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCBJ
46
Shots on goal
20
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
19
6
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000-130.19010—24:06
27J. FaulkD000-240.21100—23:20
74J. SlavinD000-140.17200—23:09
20S. AhoC000-230.311005820:26
19D. HamiltonD000-130.05100—19:53
21N. NiederreiterR000-240.33120—18:15
14J. WilliamsR000-200.020002518:13
11J. StaalC000040.413104616:36
37A. SvechnikovR000030.50300—15:13
79M. FerlandL000-150.2831010014:58
86T. TeravainenC000-120.08000014:55
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.06010—14:22
48J. MartinookL000010.09000—13:38
4H. FleuryD000030.12100—13:18
13W. FoegeleL000-110.04200—12:49
23B. McGinnL000-130.42100—12:12
71L. WallmarkC000010.163004311:57
42G. McKeggC000-110.011023311:20
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)19172.8950.95-1.0559:20

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).