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Blue Jackets at Hurricanes
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-O·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 16:05 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 11% to 26%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were CBJ 24, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Curtis McElhinney stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Greg McKegg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dougie Hamilton (1 G), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    G. McKegg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ082907224
CARCAR21111218431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Ferland(12)
    S. Aho (27), J. Williams (14)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:16
  2. CAR
    D. Hamilton(5)
    G. McKegg (1), S. Maenalanen (1)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:38

2nd period

  1. CAR
    G. McKegg(1)
    B. Pesce (6), B. McGinn (7)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    6:52
  2. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(6)
    Z. Werenski (14), S. Jones (18)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    15:40
  3. CBJ
    A. Panarin(13)
    A. Duclair (5), R. Murray (18)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    16:05

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(16)EN
    J. Slavin (11)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:58

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:16CBJSeth Jones · Slashingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 13:33CARLucas Wallmark · Interferencedrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 7:55CBJBrandon Dubinsky · Hookingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCBJ goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, 2nd 16:05 — CBJ 11% → 26%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.93G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.27J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.22J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.21J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.19W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.13M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.11M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.10S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.09J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.07L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.06J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.06G. McKegg · Goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.04B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCAR
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ38%62%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
32
Hits
29
17
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011-210.03132—27:00
8Z. WerenskiD011010.06020—24:29
13C. AtkinsonR000050.35000—23:04
27R. MurrayD011-110.02120—21:53
9A. PanarinL101020.23000—21:17
18P. DuboisC000000.017004419:39
65M. NutivaaraD000000.01010—19:36
10A. WennbergC000030.492005719:33
91A. DuclairL011040.17110—16:45
58D. SavardD000-110.02200—15:50
38B. JennerC000-120.352205314:54
28O. BjorkstrandR101-110.11010—14:04
77J. AndersonR000-100.0222010013:21
37M. HannikainenL000000.00310—11:30
17B. DubinskyC000-100.005127309:55
4S. HarringtonD000-110.02010—09:01
45L. SedlakC000-100.00400008:17
20R. NashC000-120.00200007:25
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo141401.0001.15+1.1530:26
72S. Bobrovsky(L)16133.8131.41-1.5928:01

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).