Hurricanes at Blue Jackets 3-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Carolina Hurricanes

▸3

Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-CR·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 6:33 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 46% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were CAR 35, CBJ 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Curtis McElhinney stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Curtis McElhinney (31 saves, .969), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Micheal Ferland (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

★
C. McElhinney31 saves, .969
★★
S. Aho1 G, 1 A
★★★
M. Ferland1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CAR	115	18	112	335
CBJ	113	010	09	132

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

J. Martinook(1)
A. Svechnikov (1)
snapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
1-0
1:43
B. Dubinsky(1)
D. Savard (1)
tip-inxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
1-1
12:58

2nd period

S. Aho(1)
T. Teravainen (1), M. Ferland (1)
backhandxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
2-1
6:33

3rd period

M. Ferland(1)
S. Aho (2)
slapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
3-1
5:30

Penalties

6 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

4:19Dougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
18:29Brock McGinn · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

3rd

3:06Sebastian Aho · Roughingdrawn by Markus Nutivaara2 min
6:59Pierre-Luc Dubois · Slashingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CBJ

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 6:33 — CAR 46% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att CBJ

1 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.23 G
All situations: 1 G2.7; 2.23 G
Even strength: 1 G2.3; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.4; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

42%58%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

35
Shots on goal: 32; 46%
Faceoffs: 54%; 0/1
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 2; 17
Hits: 10; 10
Blocked shots: 14; 5
Giveaways: 8; 11
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Carolina Hurricanes skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
74J. SlavinD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	0	1	0	—	20:54
27J. FaulkD	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	2	0	—	20:19
44C. de HaanD	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	1	1	0	—	20:17
57T. van RiemsdykD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	0	0	—	19:56
22B. PesceD	0	0	0	+2	0	0.03	1	2	0	—	19:26
11J. StaalC	0	0	0	+1	3	0.14	3	0	0	45	18:41
19D. HamiltonD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	1	1	2	—	18:18
13W. FoegeleL	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	100	17:34
48J. MartinookL	1	0	1	+1	3	0.25	2	1	0	—	17:04
23B. McGinnL	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	3	0	2	—	15:25
20S. AhoC	1	1	2	+1	2	0.16	0	0	2	50	15:15
86T. TeravainenC	0	1	1	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	0	14:48
14J. WilliamsR	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	0	0	—	14:40
71L. WallmarkC	0	0	0	+1	3	0.33	0	0	0	67	14:17
79M. FerlandL	1	1	2	+1	6	0.44	2	1	0	—	13:34
73V. ZykovL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	11:44
88M. NecasC	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	33	11:05
37A. SvechnikovR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	—	10:43

Carolina Hurricanes goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35C. McElhinney(W)	32	31	1	.969	2.67	+1.67	60:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score