Red Wings at Senators 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Detroit Red Wings

▸2

Ottawa Senators

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Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 2-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Helm's goal at 12:43 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 21, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Danny DeKeyser (1 G), 3. Darren Helm (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Bernier35 saves, 1.000
★★
D. DeKeyser1 G
★★★
D. Helm1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DET	27	09	05	221
OTT	015	07	013	035

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

D. DeKeyser(3)
T. Vanek (15), N. Jensen (10)
slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
1-0
12:04
D. Helm(4)
M. Frk (4), L. Glendening (10)
backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
2-0
12:43

Penalties

4 PIM·

6 PIM

2nd

2:26Brady Tkachuk · High sticking double minordrawn by Luke Glendening4 min
5:57Zack Smith · Trippingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
8:30Darren Helm · Trippingdrawn by Christian Jaros2 min
14:19Darren Helm · High stickingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: OTT

Biggest swing: Darren Helm, 1st 12:43 — DET 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.3 xG · 55 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.0 xG · 30 att OTT

0 G · 2.3 xG · 55 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.02 G
All situations: 0 G2.3; 1.22 G
Even strength: 0 G1.7; 0.30 G
Power play: 0 G0.6; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

34%66%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

21
Shots on goal: 35; 41%
Faceoffs: 59%; 0/3
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 6; 26
Hits: 27; 14
Blocked shots: 13; 7
Giveaways: 11; 8
Takeaways: 6

Box score

every player line

Detroit Red Wings skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
65D. DeKeyserD	1	0	1	+1	1	0.04	4	1	0	—	23:35
3N. JensenD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	21:45
39A. ManthaR	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	0	1	0	—	20:43
14G. NyquistR	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	—	20:05
72A. AthanasiouC	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	0	0	33	18:55
8J. AbdelkaderL	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	2	1	0	—	18:53
51F. NielsenC	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	1	3	0	64	18:21
41L. GlendeningC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	0	2	0	43	17:36
55N. KronwallD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	—	17:35
25M. GreenD	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	0	0	—	17:26
52J. EricssonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	3	0	0	—	16:49
26T. VanekL	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	2	0	0	—	16:38
70C. EhnC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	50	15:11
43D. HelmC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.83	1	0	4	0	15:00
21D. CholowskiD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	1	0	—	13:16
61J. de la RoseL	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	17	10:06
42M. FrkR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	08:29
28L. WitkowskiD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	—	05:37

Detroit Red Wings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
45J. Bernier(W)	35	35	0	1.000	2.34	+2.34	60:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators

1st period

2nd

Box score