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Red Wings at Senators
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Ottawa Senators
▸2
FinalTV FS-D, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Rasmussen's goal at 3:55 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 30% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were DET 35, OTT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Drake Batherson (1 G), 2. Matt Duchene (2 A), 3. Craig Anderson (34 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson34 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET09110016135
OTTOTT11011808236

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    C. Ceci(3)
    M. Duchene (14), M. Stone (14)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:21

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(4)
    M. Green (7), T. Daley (3)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:55
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(1)PPG
    M. Duchene (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    7:05

Penalties

DET 15 PIM·OTT 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:38DETJustin Abdelkader · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 4:38OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader5 min
  • 6:42DETWade Megan · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

2nd

  • 5:47DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:45DETAnthony Mantha · Boardingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 8:53DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 12:34OTTMark Borowiecki · Interferencedrawn by Dennis Cholowski2 min
  • 16:43OTTZack Smith · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min

3rd

  • 9:10OTTCody Ceci · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Andreas Athanasiou0 min
  • 11:13DETMike Green · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:59OTTChris Wideman · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Michael Rasmussen0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDET goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Rasmussen, 2nd 3:55 — DET 30% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.16T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.15R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.14C. White · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · Missed · xG 0.01C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsOTT
3.11 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.21 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.80 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET57%43%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
9
30
Hits
12
10
Blocked shots
20
18
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71D. LarkinC000040.381045622:06
25M. GreenD011020.07012—22:01
83T. DaleyD011030.33100—21:33
65D. DeKeyserD000000.03200—21:23
39A. ManthaR000030.17222—19:58
51F. NielsenC000-100.031404818:40
3N. JensenD000010.09210—17:57
72A. AthanasiouC000070.88300017:38
14G. NyquistR000-130.17100—16:47
21D. CholowskiD000010.06000—16:43
41L. GlendeningC000020.114004016:40
55N. KronwallD000010.03110—16:38
43D. HelmC000030.06100015:24
59T. BertuzziL000000.0000010014:05
8J. AbdelkaderL000020.387156014:03
27M. RasmussenC101+120.223003310:47
42M. FrkR000+110.07000—06:56
22W. MeganC000000.0010210003:22
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)36342.9442.64+0.6458:01

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).