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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV FS-W, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 7-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 7-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Soderberg's goal at 9:57 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 55% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were LAK 31, COL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyson Barrie (4 A), 2. Carl Soderberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Calvert (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    T. Barrie4 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Soderberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Calvert2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0501818131
COLCOL116610014740

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    9:57

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    0:32
  2. COL
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    2:27
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    7:18
  4. COL
    S. Dries(3)SHG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    8:34
  5. COL
    M. Nieto (11), T. Barrie (33)
    backhandxG 0.15
    0-6
    14:35
  6. COL
    wristxG 0.13
    0-7
    15:49

3rd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.07
    1-7
    7:52

Penalties

LAK 27 PIM·COL 23 PIM

1st

  • 7:40LAKAnze Kopitar · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 19:58LAKDustin Brown · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 6:22LAKAnze Kopitar · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 8:17COLIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min
  • 19:18COLIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min

3rd

  • 4:29LAKAlex Iafallo · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 6:00COLMatt Calvert · Slashingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
  • 6:00COLMatt Calvert · Fightingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf5 min
  • 6:00LAKDion Phaneuf · Fightingdrawn by Matt Calvert5 min
  • 7:33COLIan Cole · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min
  • 11:54LAKDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 12:05LAKDion Phaneuf · Slashingdrawn by Sheldon Dries2 min
  • 16:38COLSheldon Dries · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:38LAKDerek Forbort · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Carl Soderberg, 1st 9:57 — COL 55% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.21S. Dries · Goal · xG 0.17M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.15C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.14J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.14C. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.13S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.12C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.12M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.11M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.10C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.09C. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.07I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.06S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.06G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.06C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.03S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 3.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
1.61 G
All situations
7 G3.3
1.30 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
31
Shots on goal
40
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
2/6
27
Penalty minutes
23
20
Hits
14
20
Blocked shots
14
0
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-140.05620—26:21
27A. MartinezD000000.01220—21:09
11A. KopitarC011-100.041246119:19
6J. MuzzinD000-120.04140—18:56
73T. ToffoliC000-240.16010018:20
24D. ForbortD000-100.021612—17:24
77J. CarterC000030.180103317:22
17I. KovalchukL101-120.09000—16:20
9A. KempeR000-310.060003016:04
61S. WalkerD000-300.01100—15:59
23D. BrownR000-210.27002—15:25
14B. LeipsicL000-100.00100—14:50
62C. HagelinL000-240.29200—14:33
3D. PhaneufD000-310.01207—13:33
19A. IafalloL000-130.10102—13:22
44N. ThompsonC000-110.012205512:32
13K. CliffordL000-140.26000—10:53
51A. WagnerL000-110.01000—08:08
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell18162.8891.69-0.3131:26
32J. Quick(L)22175.7731.58-3.4228:34

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).