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Kings at Avalanche
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
2
Final/OTTV FS-W, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Dustin Brown scoring at 0:54. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dustin Brown's goal at 0:54 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 1.7 to 1.0; shots on goal were LAK 18, COL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Semyon Varlamov stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Brown (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK08250411318
COLCOL09072800224

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    D. Doughty(3)PPG
    J. Carter (11), J. Quick (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:22
  2. LAK
    S. Walker(1)
    A. Kopitar (17), D. Brown (11)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    12:58

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(24)
    M. Rantanen (45)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    0:32
  2. COL
    C. Soderberg(11)
    T. Barrie (22), G. Landeskog (21)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    18:10

Overtime

  1. LAK
    D. Brown(11)
    J. Muzzin (12), T. Toffoli (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:54

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:52LAKKyle Clifford · High sticking double minordrawn by J.T. Compher4 min
  • 19:56COLTyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

2nd

  • 1:34LAKTyler Toffoli · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 5:02LAKJeff Carter · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 8:15COLCarl Soderberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:57COLJ.T. Compher · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Dustin Brown, OT 0:54 — LAK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.26J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.13S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.06C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.04R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 1.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
1.03 G
All situations
2 G1.7
0.92 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.01 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK32%68%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.96 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
18
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
8
2
Giveaways
2
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD101-140.09720—30:28
11A. KopitarC011+130.191105423:29
24D. ForbortD000-100.05240—22:58
6J. MuzzinD011+100.02140—21:15
23D. BrownR112030.21010—21:09
77J. CarterC011020.023124220:00
73T. ToffoliC011+100.01202019:16
19A. IafalloL000010.26010—18:51
61S. WalkerD101+120.05110—16:36
17I. KovalchukL000000.00000—15:11
14B. LeipsicL000-120.07100—13:58
9A. KempeR000-100.003006012:50
7O. FantenbergD000-100.00020—12:43
3D. PhaneufD000010.01220—12:23
44N. ThompsonC000-100.000003611:41
64M. LuffR000000.00010—09:00
51A. WagnerL000000.00000—06:38
13K. CliffordL000000.00104—06:17
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)24222.9171.72-0.2860:53

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).