Skip to content
Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
Los Angeles Kings
3
FinalTV FS-W, ALT·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 7-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Nemeth's goal at 11:33 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.5, LAK 2.7; shots on goal were COL 34, LAK 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Cal Petersen stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (2 A), 2. Alexander Kerfoot (3 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Kerfoot3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL211211312734
LAKLAK16014216336

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    V. Kamenev(2)PPG
    C. Soderberg (7), A. Kerfoot (11)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    11:25
  2. LAK
    K. Clifford(3)
    T. Toffoli (7), A. Martinez (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    15:26
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(14)PPG
    M. Rantanen (25), G. Landeskog (10)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    16:16

2nd period

  1. COL
    P. Nemeth(1)
    A. Kerfoot (12), T. Jost (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    11:33
  2. COL
    C. Wilson(6)PPG
    M. Rantanen (26), N. MacKinnon (17)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    17:49

3rd period

  1. COL
    T. Barrie(2)
    A. Kerfoot (13), T. Jost (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    1:10
  2. COL
    N. Zadorov(2)
    M. Nieto (2), V. Kamenev (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    2:47
  3. COL
    M. Calvert(3)
    T. Barrie (17), C. Soderberg (8)
    tip-inxG 0.07
    7-1
    8:24
  4. LAK
    M. Luff(2)
    A. Wagner (1), D. Doughty (11)
    slapxG 0.07
    7-2
    13:14
  5. LAK
    A. Wagner(1)
    M. Luff (1), D. Forbort (3)
    snapxG 0.13
    7-3
    15:21

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·LAK 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:57LAKKyle Clifford · Interferencedrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 16:08LAKIlya Kovalchuk · Holdingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 2:14COLNikita Zadorov · High stickingdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min
  • 8:17COLNikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
  • 14:03COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
  • 14:18LAKAnze Kopitar · Embellishmentdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 14:18COLIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 16:43LAKJake Muzzin · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 10:46LAKDrew Doughty · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Patrik Nemeth, 2nd 11:33 — COL 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.15D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.14D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14A. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.13D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13K. Clifford · Goal · xG 0.13J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.08K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.08C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.07N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.07M. Luff · Goal · xG 0.06C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.05K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.04A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.03D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.01M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.00I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.00C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 2.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
2.57 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.84 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.73 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL47%53%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
34
Shots on goal
36
49%
Faceoffs
51%
3/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
30
10
Blocked shots
6
3
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000-110.13200—22:11
28I. ColeD000010.01012—20:37
49S. GirardD000-120.05020—20:23
92G. LandeskogL011030.500105619:03
4T. BarrieD112020.19020—18:44
29N. MacKinnonC112040.521023118:12
16N. ZadorovD101+220.11014—17:13
12P. NemethD101+210.02320—17:10
96M. RantanenR022010.0300010016:22
17T. JostC022+220.01010014:59
34C. SoderbergC022-120.012004214:51
11M. CalvertL101-140.3720010014:40
91V. KamenevC112+120.111005614:34
13A. KerfootC033+210.060006914:07
22C. WilsonC101+140.30000013:58
83M. NietoL011000.08100—13:41
10S. AndrighettoR000+120.04000—13:40
15S. DriesC000-200.00200009:57
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(W)36333.9172.72-0.2859:38

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).