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Panthers at Sabres
NHL

Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV FS-F, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Sabres scored first; the Panthers answered. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgenii Dadonov's goal at 3:30 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were FLA 36, BUF 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Carter Hutton stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgenii Dadonov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Frank Vatrano (1 G), 3. Roberto Luongo (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    E. Dadonov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    R. Luongo30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA09111416536
BUFBUF1611709232

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(25)
    J. Eichel (32), S. Reinhart (25)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:48

2nd period

  1. FLA
    T. Brouwer(7)
    J. McCann (7), M. Matheson (12)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:17
  2. BUF
    R. Ristolainen(4)
    S. Reinhart (26), J. Skinner (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:08

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(15)PPG
    K. Yandle (25), J. Huberdeau (30)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    0:58
  2. FLA
    E. Dadonov(15)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +26 pts
    3-2
    3:30
  3. FLA
    F. Vatrano(9)
    E. Dadonov (17), H. Borgstrom (1)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    4:42
  4. FLA
    E. Dadonov(16)EN
    A. Barkov (18), J. Huberdeau (31)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:30

Penalties

FLA 11 PIM·BUF 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:59FLAJared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 15:06BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Slashingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

2nd

  • 3:38FLAJared McCann · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:09BUFJeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 16:35FLAKeith Yandle · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 19:09BUFKyle Okposo · Hookingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

3rd

  • 9:12BUFZemgus Girgensons · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Haley5 min
  • 9:12FLAMicheal Haley · Fightingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalFLA goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Evgenii Dadonov, 3rd 3:30 — FLA 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.22J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.11J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.11E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.10R. Ristolainen · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.09R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.07J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pominville · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 2.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBUF
3.14 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA61%39%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBUF
36
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
20
Hits
11
11
Blocked shots
5
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-240.08000—22:09
16A. BarkovC112-140.410104320:51
19M. MathesonD011-110.04210—20:48
11J. HuberdeauL022010.28000—20:43
3K. YandleD011+220.02002—20:36
52M. WeegarD000020.04210—19:28
68M. HoffmanC000000.00100019:05
13M. PysykD000+300.02220—19:01
63E. DadonovL213+381.21000—17:01
90J. McCannL011050.200147816:15
91J. LammikkoC000010.02210014:51
95H. BorgstromC011+100.000104514:48
22T. BrouwerR101030.29400—14:44
6A. PetrovicD000000.00210—14:10
72F. VatranoR101+140.47120—13:31
62D. MalginC000000.0000010010:06
18M. HaleyL000010.011055008:19
8J. HawrylukR000000.00300—07:55
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(W)32302.9381.96-0.0459:39

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).