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Sabres at Panthers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-F, MSG-B·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in overtime, Aleksander Barkov scoring at 2:26. The Sabres scored first; the Panthers answered. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 2:26 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 1.4; shots on goal were BUF 24, FLA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 40 of 43 (.930); James Reimer stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G), 2. Linus Ullmark (40 saves, .930), 3. Evgenii Dadonov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    L. Ullmark40 saves, .930
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Dadonov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF16190702224
FLAFLA11401211611343

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(20)
    S. Reinhart (15), J. Eichel (26)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:55
  2. FLA
    J. McCann(5)PPG
    M. Matheson (9), F. Vatrano (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    18:31

2nd period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(6)PPG
    J. Eichel (27), L. Ullmark (1)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    2:41

3rd period

  1. FLA
    E. Dadonov(11)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (20), K. Yandle (18)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    11:56

Overtime

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(9)
    J. Huberdeau (21), A. Ekblad (6)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:26

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:48BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Micheal Haley2 min
  • 16:40BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

2nd

  • 2:04FLANick Bjugstad · High stickingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 11:47FLAMike Matheson · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 18:19BUFPatrik Berglund · Holdingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

3rd

  • 2:29FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 11:48BUFCasey Nelson · High stickingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 13:11FLAAlexander Petrovic · Boardingdrawn by Jason Pominville2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBUF goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, OT 2:26 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.21A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.20M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.16M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.15M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.15J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.15M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.12J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.03A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Haley · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.00A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.00A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 3.4 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsFLA
1.42 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF17%83%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
43
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
37
21
Blocked shots
10
22
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-130.07122—26:44
4Z. BogosianD000000.02030—23:46
26R. DahlinD000030.04412—20:14
9J. EichelC022040.272205020:05
23S. ReinhartC112040.26000018:28
82N. BeaulieuD000000.00340—18:22
53J. SkinnerL101+110.0500010017:20
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.00410017:19
22J. LarssonL000000.003205616:42
8C. NelsonD000+110.01212—15:54
21K. OkposoR000020.112102915:37
72T. ThompsonC000020.22100014:15
17V. SobotkaC000010.002003313:31
71E. RodriguesC000010.070006713:25
24L. PilutD000+100.02120—12:48
37C. MittelstadtC000010.17000012:40
10P. BerglundC000000.000223312:35
29J. PominvilleR000010.10100—11:37
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(O)43403.9303.43+0.4362:23

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).