Skip to content
Islanders at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸2
Carolina Hurricanes
1
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Pulock's goal at 14:35 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.8 to 1.2; shots on goal were NYI 20, CAR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Thomas Greiss (38 saves, .974), 2. Ryan Pulock (1 G), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    T. Greiss38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI151906220
CARCAR01211908139

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(4)PPG
    J. Bailey (8), N. Leddy (1)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    3:39

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(3)
    S. Aho (12), T. van Riemsdyk (2)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:16
  2. NYI
    R. Pulock(1)
    A. Lee (7), J. Bailey (9)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:35

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:30CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Boychuk2 min
  • 8:26NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 14:10NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 16:17CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min

2nd

  • 5:28CARJustin Williams · Interferencedrawn by Thomas Greiss2 min
  • 19:25NYIJohnny Boychuk · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

3rd

  • 15:00CARJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Pulock, 2nd 14:35 — NYI 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.36J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.26J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.19T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.16J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.14M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.06J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 2.8 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCAR
1.22 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI19%81%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.19 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCAR
20
Shots on goal
39
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
36
20
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
7
15
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD101020.08230—21:58
2N. LeddyD011-110.05310—20:46
55J. BoychukD000010.04522—19:21
24S. MayfieldD000000.02110—19:14
27A. LeeL112+110.08312—17:35
4T. HickeyD000020.15120—17:35
3A. PelechD000+100.00020—17:28
51V. FilppulaC000000.000006217:23
47L. KomarovR000-120.217205016:55
29B. NelsonC000010.090104316:48
12J. BaileyR022+100.00000—16:31
16A. LaddL000-120.07310—15:53
13M. BarzalC000010.080001815:11
7J. EberleR000050.14000—14:52
18A. BeauvillierR000020.21000—14:16
53C. CizikasC000000.001102011:58
14T. KuhnhacklR000000.00320—11:30
17M. MartinL000000.012122508:46
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)39381.9742.84+1.8460:00

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).