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Islanders at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸2
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Final/OTTV FS-CR, MSG+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1 in overtime, Josh Bailey scoring at 0:43. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Bailey's goal at 0:43 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 20, CAR 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 45 of 46 (.978), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Josh Bailey (1 G), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Dougie Hamilton (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Bailey1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI07170412220
CARCAR01601511500146

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    V. Filppula(1)
    B. Nelson (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    9:27

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(1)
    D. Hamilton (1), S. Aho (1)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +46 pts
    1-1
    18:25

Overtime

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(1)PPG
    M. Barzal (1), R. Pulock (1)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    0:43

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:44NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 10:21CARBrett Pesce · Holdingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min

2nd

  • 6:48NYIRyan Pulock · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 11:29CARLucas Wallmark · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

3rd

  • 6:57NYILuca Sbisa · Broken stick2 min
  • 19:56CARMicheal Ferland · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Bailey, OT 0:43 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.28J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.15M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.12J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.12V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.02V. Zykov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.4 xG · 67 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCAR
1.92 G
All situations
1 G3.4
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI26%74%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCAR
20
Shots on goal
46
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
29
22
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
14
15
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD011-130.10222—22:30
2N. LeddyD000+100.05200—22:15
4T. HickeyD000+100.00310—20:10
3A. PelechD000-110.12120—19:17
29B. NelsonC011010.041203519:07
27A. LeeL000-100.02620—18:58
55J. BoychukD000010.03340—18:10
13M. BarzalC011000.080123617:37
7J. EberleR000+140.23000—17:05
12J. BaileyR101020.23000—16:08
21L. SbisaD000000.11102—15:55
18A. BeauvillierR000030.13110—15:20
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.27210—14:15
53C. CizikasC000000.041305513:24
47L. KomarovR000010.0530010012:12
51V. FilppulaC101+120.191005012:06
11T. FritzC000000.07220011:48
17M. MartinL000010.15310—10:35
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)46451.9783.36+2.3660:43

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).