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New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN-US, MSG+·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 5:11 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were NJD 26, WSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 1.7 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (2 G), 2. Michal Kempny (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Carlson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    M. Kempny1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD191918326
WSHWSH2917210526

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:21
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:10
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:32

2nd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:44
  2. NJD
    P. Maroon (26), P. Zacha (16)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    19:07

3rd period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha (17), M. Wood (13)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    2:04
  2. WSH
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.06win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    5:11
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    11:50

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:29WSHMatt Niskanen · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 11:29NJDNico Hischier · Embellishmentdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min

2nd

  • 5:57WSHMichal Kempny · Cross checkingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 9:15WSHAlex Chiasson · Cross checkingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 9:15NJDPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min

3rd

  • 12:14NJDJimmy Hayes · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 14:47NJDNico Hischier · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNJD goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 3rd 5:11 — WSH 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.20D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.19N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.19A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.18A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.16J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.15A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.12B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.12T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.04B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kempny · Goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Jerabek · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWSH
1.63 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.33 G
Even strength
5 G3.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD22%78%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/1
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
6
10
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD011-100.00110—21:19
2J. MooreD000-110.02010—21:06
25M. MuellerD000-300.00010—20:57
6A. GreeneD000-310.01030—19:48
39B. GibbonsC000-110.21120019:03
8W. ButcherD000+100.00000—18:32
37P. ZachaC022020.190105617:42
12B. LovejoyD000+310.00200—17:25
20B. ColemanL000-110.111002117:08
17P. MaroonL123+120.09302—15:35
63J. BrattL000010.07000—14:44
13N. HischierC101030.260244214:43
23S. NoesenR000-120.02000—13:42
40M. GrabnerL000-200.00000—13:23
18D. StaffordR000-130.22100—12:50
44M. WoodL112+150.38100—12:39
11B. BoyleC000-130.050004511:15
10J. HayesR000-100.00002—10:09
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)26215.8083.30-1.7060:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).