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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, NBCSWA·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 19:00 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were WSH 28, NJD 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Cory Schneider stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 3 A), 2. T.J. Oshie (2 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1821228528
NJDNJD081916223

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    14:49

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    8:01
  2. NJD
    T. Hall(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    16:28
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    19:00

3rd period

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    0:53
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(5)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    5:26
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    5-2
    7:02

Penalties

WSH 30 PIM·NJD 22 PIM

1st

  • 5:42WSHChristian Djoos · Interferencedrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 11:12NJDDalton Prout · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 7:30NJDBlake Coleman · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 15:41WSHBrooks Orpik · Interferencedrawn by Miles Wood2 min

3rd

  • 1:17NJDKyle Palmieri · Interferencedrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 2:33WSHAndre Burakovsky · Fightingdrawn by Blake Coleman5 min
  • 2:33WSHAndre Burakovsky · Instigator misconductdrawn by Blake Coleman10 min
  • 2:33WSHAndre Burakovsky · Instigatordrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 2:33NJDBlake Coleman · Boardingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 2:33NJDBlake Coleman · Fightingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky5 min
  • 4:10NJDPavel Zacha · High sticking double minordrawn by Lars Eller4 min
  • 12:31NJDBlake Coleman · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 12:31WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Blake Coleman5 min
  • 15:30WSHDmitry Orlov · Slashingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 17:52WSHLars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Jakub Vrana, 2nd 19:00 — WSH 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.16K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.16J. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.10P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.10B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.09P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.05D. Prout · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.04M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gibbons · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gibbons · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD2 G · 1.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.45 G
All situations
2 G1.7
2.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.73 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH77%23%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
28
Shots on goal
23
41%
Faceoffs
59%
3/5
Power play
1/4
30
Penalty minutes
22
27
Hits
22
9
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+230.28110—27:26
44B. OrpikD000+100.00432—22:04
9D. OrlovD000010.11322—21:05
8A. OvechkinL112040.57100—19:00
92E. KuznetsovC022+110.111001418:47
19N. BackstromC134030.361004418:19
77T. OshieR213030.55010—18:10
29C. DjoosD000-100.03002—17:04
20L. EllerC000020.212026214:44
83J. BeagleC000000.052104514:31
25D. Smith-PellyR011+120.20000—14:26
55A. NessD000010.01010—13:55
43T. WilsonR000010.19305—13:47
39A. ChiassonR000030.313005013:28
13J. VranaL101+130.27100—12:56
2M. NiskanenD000000.00200—12:18
10B. ConnollyR000000.003006711:25
65A. BurakovskyL000010.1200176709:48
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)23212.9131.75-0.2560:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).