New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Moore's goal at 17:35 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 18% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were NJD 27, WSH 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.8 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. John Carlson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Christian Djoos (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (3 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Carlson1 G, 2 A

- ★★C. Djoos1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Ovechkin3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-12:26
0-211:09
1-217:35
2nd period
1-37:01
3rd period
1-44:25
2-49:00
2-519:19
Penalties
1st
- 3:52
Brooks Orpik · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
2nd
- 5:34
Pavel Zacha · Holdingdrawn by Christian Djoos2 min
- 15:49
T.J. Oshie · High stickingdrawn by Steven Santini2 min
3rd
- 11:57
Damon Severson · Trippingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: John Moore, 1st 17:35 — 18% → 32%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.02 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.8
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.9
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 3.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 20
- Hits
- 23
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 3
- Giveaways
- 8
- 12
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
WSH leads 3-1
5@
2Final
2@
5this game
3@
4OTFinal
3@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
