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Stars at Ducks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
3
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Dallas Stars 5-3. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 2:52 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 8% to 23%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 26, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Mike McKenna stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.2 goals below expected; Ryan Miller stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Josh Manson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G, 2 A), 3. Francois Beauchemin.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Manson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    F. Beauchemin

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1715114326
ANAANA31311515533

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(17)
    J. Manson (29), A. Cogliano (23)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:28
  2. ANA
    R. Rakell(33)PPG
    R. Getzlaf (48), A. Henrique (25)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    6:33
  3. DAL
    M. Methot(1)
    A. Radulov (42), J. Benn (43)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    11:13
  4. ANA
    D. Grant(12)
    J. Silfverberg (22), H. Lindholm (18)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:40

2nd period

  1. ANA
    J. Manson(7)
    R. Getzlaf (49), C. Perry (31)
    backhandxG 0.17
    1-4
    4:36
  2. DAL
    R. Faksa(17)
    G. Pateryn (12), T. Pitlick (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    7:49

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(33)
    J. Klingberg (58)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    2:52
  2. ANA
    A. Cogliano(12)
    J. Silfverberg (23), R. Kesler (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    3-5
    14:35

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:34DALAlexander Radulov · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 17:06DALBrett Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

2nd

  • 1:36DALJamie Benn · Cross checkingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 11:38DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min

3rd

  • 8:31ANANick Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Remi Elie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDAL goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 3rd 2:52 — DAL 8% → 23%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.49C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.21J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.17A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.14N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.09C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.09R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.08A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.08A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.08D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.05A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsANA
2.63 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.03 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL47%53%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsANA
26
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
10
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011-120.16020—26:51
47A. RadulovR011-120.25022—22:24
33M. MethotD101+210.11110—21:29
91T. SeguinC000-230.400023020:38
14J. BennL112020.350023820:04
29G. PaterynD011+210.04020—20:02
23E. LindellD000-230.07010—20:01
2D. HamhuisD000-100.00020—17:14
12R. FaksaC101+110.111007616:28
13M. JanmarkC000040.26010014:53
40R. ElieL000010.01210—14:25
90J. SpezzaC000010.260005313:46
21A. RousselL000010.24000—12:34
18T. PitlickC011+110.16100012:30
17D. ShoreC000010.011003311:32
6J. HonkaD000-200.00010—10:39
25B. RitchieR000-120.20202—10:25
46G. SmithC000-100.00200009:52
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. McKenna(L)33285.8482.81-2.1957:14

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).