Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Ducks scored first; the Stars answered. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 14:23 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 59% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 27, DAL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Devin Shore (1 G), 3. Ryan Miller (35 saves, .946).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-017:16
3rd period
1-18:50
1-214:23
Penalties
1st
- 0:47
Tyler Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
2nd
- 4:26
Antoine Roussel · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
3rd
- 6:52
Corey Perry · Closing hand on puck2 min
- 13:48
Marcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
- 19:38
Stephen Johns · Delaying game2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jamie Benn, 3rd 14:23 — 59% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.41 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.7
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.4
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 2.68
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 2/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 17
- Hits
- 17
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 6
- Giveaways
- 4
- 2
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
