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Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW, FS-W·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Ducks scored first; the Stars answered. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 14:23 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 59% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 27, DAL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Devin Shore (1 G), 3. Ryan Miller (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    D. Shore1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Miller35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11005012127
DALDAL09017211237

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    C. Perry (27), R. Rakell (29)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:16

3rd period

  1. DAL
    D. Shore(9)PPG
    T. Seguin (27), J. Benn (37)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    8:50
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(23)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +29 pts
    1-2
    14:23

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:47DALTyler Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

2nd

  • 4:26DALAntoine Roussel · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

3rd

  • 6:52ANACorey Perry · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 13:48ANAMarcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 19:38DALStephen Johns · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalANA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 3rd 14:23 — DAL 59% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.39A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.26J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.21T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.18T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.11J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.10D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.10A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.09D. Shore · Goal · xG 0.08J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07R. Elie · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.05D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.04B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.03G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Honka · Missed · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.00D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.00J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.00G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsDAL
1.41 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.21 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA25%75%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsDAL
27
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
17
23
Blocked shots
21
6
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000020.0903010026:02
47H. LindholmD000040.04100—24:49
26B. MontourD000000.00130—23:06
15R. GetzlafC101+140.192304221:33
10C. PerryR011+110.03202—20:31
67R. RakellR011+120.0832010020:04
14A. HenriqueC000030.131106218:53
42J. MansonD000020.03200—18:41
17R. KeslerC000000.080105518:01
33J. SilfverbergR000020.19030—15:58
25O. KaseR000020.16100—15:16
23F. BeaucheminD000+110.03020—15:14
37N. RitchieL000010.17300—14:04
7A. CoglianoC000020.09020013:47
65M. PetterssonD000+100.00022—12:08
22C. KellyC000000.00100007:21
50A. VermetteC000000.00000006:51
71J. BrownR000010.07010—06:38
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)37352.9462.73+0.7358:30

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).