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Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FS-SW, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Dallas Stars 2-0. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Getzlaf's goal at 4:28 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 77% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 1.1; shots on goal were DAL 41, ANA 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.9 goals below expected; Ryan Miller stopped 41 of 41 (1.000), 3.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Miller (41 saves, 1.000), 2. Hampus Lindholm (1 G), 3. Ryan Getzlaf (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Miller41 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL01007024041
ANAANA140815217

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    13:15

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    4:28

Penalties

DAL 11 PIM·ANA 15 PIM

1st

  • 13:07DALAntoine Roussel · Holdingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min

2nd

  • 7:07DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 16:19DALAntoine Roussel · Trippingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

3rd

  • 0:53ANACam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 2:11ANARyan Getzlaf · Delaying game2 min
  • 2:16ANAJosh Manson · Delaying game2 min
  • 4:50ANAMarcus Pettersson · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 20:00ANACorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Benn5 min
  • 20:00DALJamie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 20:00ANAAdam Henrique · Slashingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDAL goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Getzlaf, 3rd 4:28 — ANA 77% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.15B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.12R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.1 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsANA
3.10 G
All situations
2 G1.1
0.90 G
Even strength
0 G0.7
2.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL85%15%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 1.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsANA
41
Shots on goal
17
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/4
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
15
20
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-140.26030—26:32
14J. BennL000-150.692155024:38
47A. RadulovR000-160.29100—22:57
91T. SeguinC000-150.400024422:53
28S. JohnsD000020.09510—21:09
13M. JanmarkC000020.21010018:02
23E. LindellD000000.01010—17:53
2D. HamhuisD000000.01100—17:06
33M. MethotD000020.00110—17:00
17D. ShoreC000000.00100016:10
29G. PaterynD000020.10110—15:54
90J. SpezzaC000-150.510006315:17
12R. FaksaC000000.110106413:32
40R. ElieL000000.00310—13:24
18T. PitlickC000030.21100011:36
25B. RitchieR000040.23310—11:21
21A. RousselL000010.00104—09:55
10M. HanzalC000000.00000004:09
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)17152.8821.07-0.9356:24

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).