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Oilers at Wild
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
0
Minnesota Wild
▸3
FinalTV FS-N, SNW·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 8:24 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 22, MIN 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Parise (2 G), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 A), 3. Mikko Koivu (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Z. Parise2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Koivu1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0801103022
MINMIN11316121340

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    Z. Parise(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:33

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Z. Parise(15)
    J. Brodin (14), M. Koivu (28)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:24

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(6)EN
    C. Coyle (25), D. Winnik (16)
    wristxG 0.54
    0-3
    19:16

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:31EDMAnton Slepyshev · Trippingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min

2nd

  • 15:18MINEric Staal · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 1:57MINRyan Murphy · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:34EDMEthan Bear · Slashingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 2nd 8:24 — MIN 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.54E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.23J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.22M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.14J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.13M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.11E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.11M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.10C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.09M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.04M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prosser · Missed · xG 0.00E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
1.80 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM30%70%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
22
Shots on goal
40
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
12
12
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-120.06220—26:46
4K. RussellD000-120.08140—26:29
6A. LarssonD000-210.03320—21:58
97C. McDavidC000-340.440002021:32
74E. BearD000-120.05212—20:59
29L. DraisaitlC000-310.240006220:29
18R. StromeC000020.081005616:42
8T. RattieR000-200.00000—16:41
27M. LucicL000000.12300—16:19
98J. PuljujarviR000010.02000—14:27
44Z. KassianR000000.00100—13:46
91D. CaggiulaL000020.18200—13:35
2A. SekeraD000-110.01100—12:47
16J. KhairaL000000.002005012:42
13M. CammalleriL000-120.210102512:36
58A. SlepyshevL000-110.17012—12:32
46P. AbergL000010.09000—09:53
81Y. AuvituD000000.00010—06:59
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)39372.9492.87+0.8758:48

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).