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Wild at Oilers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV FS-N, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 9:11 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were MIN 33, EDM 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cam Talbot (32 saves, .970), 3. Charlie Coyle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. Talbot32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Coyle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01209112133
EDMEDM05212211428

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(32)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (17)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    9:11
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(33)PPG
    A. Sekera (4)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    12:00

3rd period

  1. MIN
    C. Coyle(10)
    T. Ennis (12), G. Olofsson (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:44
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(22)PPG
    E. Bear (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    16:25
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(18)EN
    C. McDavid (51), A. Larsson (6)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:27

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

2nd

  • 10:12MINMikael Granlund · Holdingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 17:26EDMMatt Benning · Trippingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

3rd

  • 3:54EDMDarnell Nurse · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 5:51EDMRyan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 5:51MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 12:56EDMDarnell Nurse · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 15:55MINMatt Cullen · Trippingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMIN goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 9:11 — EDM 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.54C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.16P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.12D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.12D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.11P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.09J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.08R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.06A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.05K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.04A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.03M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 2.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsEDM
3.81 G
All situations
3 G2.6
3.01 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN78%22%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.82 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
2/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
43
15
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
24
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-130.05430—24:59
24M. DumbaD000020.05532—24:47
46J. SpurgeonD000-200.02030—23:04
25J. BrodinD000000.00010—22:20
16J. ZuckerL000-171.22100—19:10
12E. StaalC000-140.800105418:41
9M. KoivuC000000.131104317:36
3C. CoyleC101-140.2810010016:49
64M. GranlundC000010.15102016:49
11Z. PariseL000-150.53100—16:23
22N. NiederreiterR000020.21010—15:16
63T. EnnisR011010.16100—14:05
7M. CullenC000010.160025713:37
26D. WinnikL000000.030005011:35
23G. OlofssonD011+110.00010—11:32
39N. ProsserD000010.01110—10:40
17M. FolignoL000000.00200—10:29
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.043004010:06
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)27243.8892.04-0.9659:44

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).