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Oilers at Wild
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV FS-N, SNW·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Milan Lucic's goal at 16:37 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were EDM 29, MIN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Milan Lucic (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 A), 3. Mathew Dumba (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Lucic1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM01321016329
MINMIN01011219231

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(13)SHG
    Z. Kassian (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    9:15
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(4)
    M. Granlund (14)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:18
  3. EDM
    M. Lucic(8)
    L. Draisaitl (15), C. McDavid (28)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    16:37

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(6)
    M. Lucic (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    8:32
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(5)
    C. Stewart (4), E. Staal (16)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    3-2
    15:00

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·MIN 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:15EDMMichael Cammalleri · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 4:04MINCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 17:46EDMMatt Benning · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 19:55MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

2nd

  • 4:44MINEric Staal · Holdingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 7:51EDMDrake Caggiula · Interferencedrawn by Nate Prosser2 min
  • 14:19MINNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:28EDMPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 19:44MINTyler Ennis · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 17:57MINJason Zucker · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Davidson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Milan Lucic, 2nd 16:37 — EDM 48% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.10E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.10M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.06M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.05T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.03A. Stalock · On goal · xG 0.02M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Stewart · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 1.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
2.23 G
All situations
2 G1.6
0.92 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM63%37%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 1.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/6
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
6
10
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000+210.10100—25:26
97C. McDavidC011+130.200202520:54
25D. NurseD000010.16100—20:48
29L. DraisaitlC011+150.692106220:19
4K. RussellD000-120.02020—19:15
83M. BenningD000+130.06012—19:14
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101+120.100104318:49
55M. LetestuC000-100.130007116:26
27M. LucicL112+120.19300—15:59
18R. StromeC000010.080007515:28
19P. MaroonL000010.01402—14:56
88B. DavidsonD000000.00110—14:54
13M. CammalleriL000-110.1410210014:53
16J. KhairaL000000.0010010013:06
81Y. AuvituD000000.00020—11:47
44Z. KassianR011010.04000—10:07
91D. CaggiulaL000-120.06002—09:50
98J. PuljujarviR101+140.27100—09:49
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)31292.9351.59-0.4160:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).