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Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NBCSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 13:46 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 34, PIT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (36 saves, .973), 2. Dmitry Orlov (1 G), 3. Patric Hornqvist (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    P. Grubauer36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Orlov1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH113111110334
PITPIT011015111137

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:25

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    13:46

3rd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    0:23
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.27win prob +1 pts
    3-1
    16:15

Penalties

WSH 14 PIM·PIT 24 PIM

1st

  • 6:47WSHChandler Stephenson · Hookingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 11:45PITConor Sheary · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 1:10PITCarl Hagelin · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 5:57WSHserved by B. Connolly · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:37WSHMatt Niskanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:38WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 12:50WSHDevante Smith-Pelly · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 12:50PITPatric Hornqvist · Slashingdrawn by Devante Smith-Pelly2 min
  • 15:08WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 18:17PITZachary Aston-Reese · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Jerabek2 min

3rd

  • 17:39PITPatric Hornqvist · Slashingdrawn by Brooks Orpik2 min
  • 18:59PITEvgeni Malkin · Interferencedrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 18:59PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 18:59WSHT.J. Oshie · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 18:59PITserved by J. Schultz · Game misconduct team staff0 min
  • 18:59PITEvgeni Malkin · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWSH goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, 2nd 13:46 — WSH 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.27P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.19S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.19E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.18E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.16S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.15P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Jooris · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPIT
3.33 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH55%45%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPIT
34
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/5
Power play
0/5
14
Penalty minutes
24
33
Hits
30
15
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+220.06030—25:58
8A. OvechkinL000+140.65402—22:47
19N. BackstromC000+130.171005021:59
92E. KuznetsovC011+260.280004220:50
9D. OrlovD101+110.07110—20:06
77T. OshieR101+120.172122018:57
44B. OrpikD000010.00320—18:44
2M. NiskanenD011000.03102—18:28
6M. KempnyD000+120.04320—16:57
43T. WilsonR101+230.3231210016:51
65A. BurakovskyL011+130.19110—16:05
20L. EllerC000-120.362206015:31
28J. JerabekD000020.06200—14:28
25D. Smith-PellyR000-100.06712—13:25
18C. StephensonC000+120.101026708:54
10B. ConnollyR000000.06000—08:39
13J. VranaL000-110.6710010008:19
83J. BeagleC000000.001104003:22
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)37361.9733.01+2.0159:40

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).