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Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN-US, ATTSN-PT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 18:09 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 28, WSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Braden Holtby (27 saves, .964), 2. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Chandler Stephenson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    B. Holtby27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Stephenson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0719012128
WSHWSH19112210431

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:09

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust (9), E. Malkin (12)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:26
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(7)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:09

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    13:42
  2. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.41win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:18

Penalties

PIT 17 PIM·WSH 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:26WSHDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min
  • 4:30PITPatric Hornqvist · Hookingdrawn by Brooks Orpik2 min
  • 10:26PITRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 10:26WSHLiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 13:01PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 15:06WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

2nd

  • 0:37PITPatric Hornqvist · Interferencedrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 14:10PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 14:10PITKris Letang · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

3rd

  • 1:16WSHJakub Vrana · Holding the stickdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 4:16WSHMadison Bowey · Cross checkingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 14:45PITserved by C. Sheary · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 18:09 — WSH 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.41A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.24J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.15L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.14C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.13T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.12T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.11N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.10D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.07T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.07T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.07D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.03T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chorney · On goal · xG 0.02A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH4 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
2.11 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.90 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT39%61%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
28
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
2/6
17
Penalty minutes
13
17
Hits
30
15
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3O. MaattaD000030.09020—20:58
4J. SchultzD000-240.12210—20:43
28I. ColeD000000.00110—20:13
58K. LetangD000-110.00114—19:55
87S. CrosbyC000-220.211003618:58
72P. HornqvistR000-140.74344—18:22
62C. HagelinL000010.07100—17:39
71E. MalkinC011030.132123817:25
8B. DumoulinD000010.06210—17:15
15R. SheahanC000010.010105717:03
81P. KesselR101030.18000—16:24
2C. RuhwedelD000+120.06120—15:42
59J. GuentzelC000000.19000015:27
17B. RustR011+110.04000—14:50
43C. ShearyL000010.07000—13:06
34T. KuhnhacklR000-100.00200—10:33
75R. ReavesR000-100.0011510007:40
33G. McKeggC000010.090005007:02
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)30273.9002.70-0.3059:38

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).