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Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 3-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Djoos's goal at 19:07 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 12% to 29%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 36, WSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Braden Holtby stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Patric Hornqvist (1 G, 1 A), 2. Christian Djoos (1 G, 1 A), 3. Conor Sheary (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. Djoos1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    C. Sheary1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT19115112336
WSHWSH071817222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:22

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    8:20
  2. WSH
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    19:07

3rd period

  1. PIT
    C. Sheary(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    0:38
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    12:51

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·WSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:27WSHMatt Niskanen · Slashingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 10:33WSHBraden Holtby · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
  • 13:10PITChad Ruhwedel · Slashingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 17:43WSHJohn Carlson · Trippingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

2nd

  • 1:57PITPatric Hornqvist · Slashingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 6:26WSHChristian Djoos · Trippingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 11:20WSHMatt Niskanen · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 19:55WSHAlex Chiasson · Holdingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

3rd

  • 1:38PITGreg McKegg · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min
  • 5:56PITGreg McKegg · High stickingdrawn by Brooks Orpik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Christian Djoos, 2nd 19:07 — WSH 12% → 29%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.18A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.17T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.05C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Djoos · Goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03B. Orpik · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
3.53 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.50 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.93 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT70%30%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
36
Shots on goal
22
43%
Faceoffs
57%
3/6
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD101-130.19420—27:09
8B. DumoulinD000-120.05100—21:34
87S. CrosbyC011010.081105020:31
4J. SchultzD011-110.05150—20:23
71E. MalkinC000-140.731003319:27
81P. KesselR000-120.19010—18:45
62C. HagelinL000040.2600010018:15
59J. GuentzelC000-140.47000017:26
22M. HunwickD000010.02020—16:58
3O. MaattaD011020.16210—16:18
17B. RustR011040.46120—16:13
72P. HornqvistR112-120.34102—15:23
37C. RowneyC000010.040105514:04
43C. ShearyL101-130.33000—12:32
33G. McKeggC000-110.080044011:50
2C. RuhwedelD000-110.02322—10:59
34T. KuhnhacklR011000.00000—07:38
75R. ReavesR000000.00100—06:35
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)22202.9092.21+0.2160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).