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Hurricanes at Devils
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 18:27 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 34, NJD 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 41 of 45 (.911), 0.6 goals below expected; Keith Kinkaid stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Stefan Noesen (1 G), 2. Kyle Palmieri (2 G, 1 A), 3. Taylor Hall (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    S. Noesen1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Hall3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR21701017334
NJDNJD113117215445

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(7)
    K. Palmieri (17), T. Hall (50)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:47
  2. CAR
    P. Di Giuseppe(5)
    E. Lindholm (28), J. Skinner (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:41
  3. CAR
    W. Foegele(2)
    L. Stempniak (5), D. Ryan (20)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    16:53

2nd period

  1. NJD
    K. Palmieri(22)PPG
    T. Hall (51), W. Butcher (35)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    14:07

3rd period

  1. CAR
    N. Hanifin(10)
    T. van Riemsdyk (13), J. Skinner (24)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    3:39
  2. NJD
    K. Palmieri(23)PPG
    T. Hall (52), W. Butcher (36)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +34 pts
    3-3
    11:05
  3. NJD
    S. Noesen(12)
    A. Greene (10), M. Grabner (8)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +45 pts
    3-4
    18:27

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:54CARJustin Williams · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 7:00NJDSami Vatanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:52NJDserved by T. Hall · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:22CARPhillip Di Giuseppe · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

3rd

  • 7:27NJDJohn Moore · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 9:06CARValentin Zykov · Holding the stickdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 12:31CARKlas Dahlbeck · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 18:27 — NJD 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.26D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.23B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.16J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.16W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.16S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.15M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.14M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.12S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.09J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.08S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.03W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.4 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
2.03 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR28%72%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
34
Shots on goal
45
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
18
6
Blocked shots
8
2
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000010.01100—25:12
57T. van RiemsdykD011+100.04100—22:19
5N. HanifinD101030.16110—19:47
6K. DahlbeckD000020.05112—19:12
11J. StaalC000000.001105618:42
86T. TeravainenC000030.20000018:20
20S. AhoC000020.150002518:08
28E. LindholmC011030.111106917:14
73V. ZykovL000010.17002—15:49
23B. McGinnL000020.2900010015:14
4H. FleuryD000+110.02100—14:54
53J. SkinnerL022040.40000—14:34
34P. Di GiuseppeL101040.12102—13:35
14J. WilliamsR000010.08202—13:26
55R. McKeownD000000.04000—13:12
7D. RyanC011+110.021107812:40
37W. FoegeleL101+140.15010—12:39
21L. StempniakR011+120.02000—09:44
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(L)45414.9113.36-0.6458:35

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).