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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV FS-CR, MSG+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teuvo Teravainen's goal at 9:37 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were NJD 26, CAR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Cam Ward stopped 25 of 26 (.962). Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G), 2. Cam Ward (25 saves, .962), 3. Derek Ryan (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    C. Ward25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    D. Ryan1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0618012126
CARCAR0911328330

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    V. Rask (15), N. Hanifin (20)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    11:50
  2. NJD
    T. Hall(29)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    19:27

3rd period

  1. CAR
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    9:37
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.46win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:38

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:22CARJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min

2nd

  • 6:34NJDPavel Zacha · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe2 min
  • 19:00CARDerek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 9:57CARLucas Wallmark · Trippingdrawn by Michael Grabner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Teuvo Teravainen, 3rd 9:37 — CAR 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Williams · Goal · xG 0.46S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.18B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.15J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.15E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.12D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.07L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.07V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.06V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.06B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
1.41 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.00 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD41%59%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
30
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
40
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
14
15
Takeaways
26

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD011-250.11220—23:04
28D. SeversonD000-120.07100—20:47
6A. GreeneD000-130.03110—20:39
2J. MooreD000000.00100—20:00
9T. HallL101-210.05200—19:58
19T. ZajacC000-110.252002918:45
21K. PalmieriC011-250.13420017:45
12B. LovejoyD000010.01150—17:25
17P. MaroonL000-100.31500—16:01
8W. ButcherD000-200.00010—15:44
40M. GrabnerL000-100.0030010015:31
37P. ZachaC000-110.165024215:18
44M. WoodL000000.00100—15:03
13N. HischierC000020.030105013:56
23S. NoesenR000030.13400—13:54
11B. BoyleC000-110.064004512:49
20B. ColemanL000010.08300—12:32
63J. BrattL000-100.00100—10:23
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(L)29272.9311.83-0.1758:26

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).