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Hurricanes at Devils
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
New Jersey Devils
▸5
FinalTV FS-SE, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 17:28 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals were close — CAR 1.6, NJD 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 29, NJD 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 3.4 goals below expected; Keith Kinkaid stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G, 2 A), 2. Stefan Noesen (2 G), 3. Damon Severson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    S. Noesen2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Severson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR16111012229
NJDNJD192924522

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Skinner(19)
    V. Rask (11), J. Williams (27)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    17:20
  2. NJD
    D. Severson(9)
    N. Hischier (25)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:41

2nd period

  1. NJD
    S. Noesen(6)
    T. Zajac (6), M. Wood (10)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    6:48
  2. CAR
    B. Pesce(3)
    J. Slavin (12), J. Williams (28)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    7:43
  3. NJD
    K. Palmieri(14)
    N. Hischier (26), J. Moore (9)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    17:28

3rd period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(11)
    T. Hall (37), K. Kinkaid (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    8:06
  2. NJD
    S. Noesen(7)
    D. Severson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    8:38

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:11NJDJesper Bratt · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 17:36NJDTaylor Hall · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:28CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

3rd

  • 10:59NJDJesper Bratt · Slashingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min
  • 12:05CARJeff Skinner · Interferencedrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 2nd 17:28 — NJD 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.24K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.18K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.14N. Lappin · On goal · xG 0.11S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.03W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.03N. Lappin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 1.6 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
1.62 G
All situations
5 G1.6
1.22 G
Even strength
5 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR51%49%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 1.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
22
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
21
6
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27J. FaulkD000-220.06000—21:28
74J. SlavinD011+110.07200—20:53
5N. HanifinD000-100.00010—20:31
22B. PesceD101020.15100—18:18
20S. AhoC000-330.04000018:09
11J. StaalC000-300.005127618:02
28E. LindholmC000-130.202003317:35
4H. FleuryD000-310.03320—17:33
53J. SkinnerL101+130.19002—16:30
23B. McGinnL000-220.10200—16:02
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.00220—15:57
86T. TeravainenC000-220.26100015:44
7D. RyanC000+110.151004015:42
14J. WilliamsR022030.340006714:22
49V. RaskC011000.002004013:45
34P. Di GiuseppeL000030.03000—12:09
21L. StempniakR000000.00000—11:57
42J. NordstromC000020.03000011:23
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(L)22175.7731.61-3.3960:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).