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St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV FS-MW, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Jamie Benn scoring at 3:04. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 3:04 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 37, DAL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Ben Bishop stopped 35 of 37 (.946). Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (1 G), 2. Ben Bishop (35 saves, .946), 3. Jaden Schwartz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL0911511300237
DALDAL0611411113334

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    7:04
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:06

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +36 pts
    2-1
    12:43
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin (25), J. Benn (36)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    17:04

Overtime

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:04

Penalties

STL 19 PIM·DAL 25 PIM

1st

  • 0:11STLChris Thorburn · Fightingdrawn by Antoine Roussel5 min
  • 0:11DALAntoine Roussel · Instigatordrawn by Chris Thorburn2 min
  • 0:11DALAntoine Roussel · Fightingdrawn by Chris Thorburn5 min
  • 0:11STLChris Thorburn · Misconductdrawn by Antoine Roussel10 min
  • 0:11DALAntoine Roussel · Misconductdrawn by Chris Thorburn10 min
  • 1:51DALEsa Lindell · Delaying game2 min
  • 5:02DALBrett Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 5:02STLPatrik Berglund · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

2nd

  • 2:26DALMattias Janmark · Hookingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 13:59STLScottie Upshall · High stickingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

3rd

  • 6:38DALGreg Pateryn · Roughingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, OT 3:04 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.28J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.15B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.11T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.11D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.10B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.06A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.06G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.04B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
2.42 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL38%62%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
37
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
0/1
19
Penalty minutes
25
23
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000050.11130—31:19
10B. SchennC000030.313005423:41
17J. SchwartzL101030.16110—22:36
55C. ParaykoD011020.09140—22:25
29V. DunnD011040.11010—21:33
91V. TarasenkoR011-140.21000—21:30
20A. SteenL000040.430005018:07
28K. BrodziakC000010.104003917:40
21P. BerglundC000010.221026017:24
4C. GunnarssonD000-100.03110—17:23
71V. SobotkaC000010.02200016:12
41R. BortuzzoD000010.03030—15:45
49I. BarbashevL101-110.130003815:23
23D. JaskinR000040.26200—15:01
19J. BouwmeesterD000000.00100—09:46
9S. UpshallR000010.04302—08:04
32T. ThompsonC000020.1110010006:54
22C. ThorburnR000000.002015—04:38
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(O)34313.9123.07+0.0762:55

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).