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St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-MW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Janmark's goal at 2:42 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 56% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.1 to 1.1; shots on goal were STL 29, DAL 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Ben Bishop stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ben Bishop (28 saves, .966), 2. Stephen Johns (1 G), 3. John Klingberg (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    B. Bishop28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    DAL
    S. Johns1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0801219129
DALDAL031716216

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Janmark(16)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    2:42

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn (32), M. Methot (1)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:33
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(24)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +5 pts
    1-2
    18:46

Penalties

STL 13 PIM·DAL 17 PIM

1st

  • 5:48DALBrett Ritchie · Trippingdrawn by Dmitrij Jaskin2 min
  • 12:23STLJaden Schwartz · Delaying game2 min
  • 17:33DALJason Spezza · Slashingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min

2nd

  • 1:12STLColton Parayko · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 4:39DALGreg Pateryn · Roughingdrawn by Scottie Upshall2 min
  • 13:03STLPaul Stastny · Hookingdrawn by Greg Pateryn2 min

3rd

  • 6:52STLVladimir Sobotka · Trippingdrawn by Remi Elie2 min
  • 15:42DALJohn Klingberg · High stickingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 15:42DALJohn Klingberg · High stickingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 20:00DALMarc Methot · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 20:00DALMarc Methot · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 20:00STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Marc Methot5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Mattias Janmark, 2nd 2:42 — DAL 56% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.10B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.07T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02S. Johns · Goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.00M. Hanzal · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 1.1 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
2.11 G
All situations
2 G1.1
1.00 G
Even strength
1 G0.6
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL71%29%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 1.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
29
Shots on goal
16
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/5
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
17
20
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
23
5
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000-130.12010—26:58
10B. SchennC101020.312053622:45
17J. SchwartzL011040.28202—22:24
55C. ParaykoD000030.16212—22:03
19J. BouwmeesterD000-120.03130—21:44
91V. TarasenkoR011030.24100—21:13
20A. SteenL000030.39100—20:40
26P. StastnyC000000.001126019:23
29V. DunnD000020.07000—18:50
21P. BerglundC000-130.21110018:43
71V. SobotkaC000-110.161125715:58
4C. GunnarssonD000000.00020—14:26
28K. BrodziakC000010.060303811:30
23D. JaskinR000010.01100—09:25
41R. BortuzzoD000000.01300—09:07
49I. BarbashevL000-110.00100—08:19
9S. UpshallR000000.00200—07:12
22C. ThorburnR000000.00100—03:26
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)16142.8751.08-0.9258:24

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).