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Capitals at Hurricanes
NHL

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
3
FinalTV FS-CR, NBCSWA+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jay Beagle's goal at 19:58 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.0, CAR 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 27, CAR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Cam Ward stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jay Beagle (1 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Beagle1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1121728427
CARCAR110118111339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(13)PPG
    J. Williams (20), S. Aho (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    3:20
  2. WSH
    L. Eller(9)PPG
    J. Vrana (7), A. Ovechkin (20)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:25

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(28)
    J. Carlson (30), E. Kuznetsov (28)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    0:28
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(16)PPG
    J. Faulk (10), J. Staal (15)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    8:50

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Skinner(14)
    L. Stempniak (1), H. Fleury (6)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    1:49
  2. WSH
    B. Connolly(10)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.22win prob +39 pts
    3-3
    16:52
  3. WSH
    J. Beagle(5)
    N. Backstrom (28), A. Ovechkin (21)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    19:58

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:10WSHBrett Connolly · Interferencedrawn by Josh Jooris2 min
  • 5:28CARKlas Dahlbeck · Holdingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 18:28CARHaydn Fleury · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 3:37CARJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:45WSHDmitry Orlov · Holdingdrawn by Lee Stempniak2 min
  • 9:11WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min
  • 15:24WSHJohn Carlson · Holdingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

3rd

  • 4:03CARNoah Hanifin · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 5:10WSHNicklas Backstrom · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWSH goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Jay Beagle, 3rd 19:58 — WSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.22V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.16T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.16J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.15J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.13T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.12L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.10V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.10J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.07V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.05J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.05J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.02K. Dahlbeck · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCAR
3.04 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
1.01 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH49%51%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCAR
27
Shots on goal
39
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
13
7
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
10
17
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+140.12002—24:33
9D. OrlovD000+110.02002—22:56
8A. OvechkinL123+230.42100—22:34
2M. NiskanenD000+230.03220—22:18
19N. BackstromC011+220.370125621:20
77T. OshieR000+200.00000—17:38
92E. KuznetsovC011010.142023817:24
44B. OrpikD000-110.01210—17:20
20L. EllerC101+130.481104616:38
25D. Smith-PellyR000010.40700—13:59
29C. DjoosD000000.00100—13:56
10B. ConnollyR101+110.37002—13:51
43T. WilsonR000-110.12320—12:39
22M. BoweyD000020.03000—12:12
13J. VranaL011-110.0800010011:46
83J. BeagleC101+120.282007311:35
39A. ChiassonR000010.17100—11:33
18C. StephensonC000000.00000009:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)39363.9233.05+0.0560:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).