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Capitals at Hurricanes
NHL

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes

Final/OTTV FS-CR, NBCSWA·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-4 in overtime, Alex Ovechkin scoring at 1:57. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 1:57 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were WSH 26, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 34 of 38 (.895); Cam Ward stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Rask (2 G), 2. Alex Ovechkin (2 G), 3. Devante Smith-Pelly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    V. Rask2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Smith-Pelly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH271711111526
CARCAR1131821601438

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:21
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:39
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:53

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:48
  2. CAR
    V. Rask(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    11:15

3rd period

  1. CAR
    D. Ryan (14)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    5:40
  2. CAR
    S. Aho (19)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +28 pts
    3-4
    7:04
  3. WSH
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +34 pts
    4-4
    12:45

Overtime

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:57

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:16WSHBrooks Orpik · Boardingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 9:44WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Cross checkingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 16:47CARHaydn Fleury · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min

3rd

  • 1:06WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 7:19CARJaccob Slavin · Interferencedrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 18:05WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWSH goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, OT 1:57 — WSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.23J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.22V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.20E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.17J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.17D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.16V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.12J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.12L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.10L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.08V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.07L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.07V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.07J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.1 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCAR
1.95 G
All situations
4 G4.1
1.65 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH18%82%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 4.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
38
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
22
10
Takeaways
20

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000+140.09200—30:51
44B. OrpikD011-100.00232—22:28
9D. OrlovD101+230.10030—21:13
8A. OvechkinL202+320.49100—20:01
19N. BackstromC022+110.071105318:54
29C. DjoosD000+110.04010—17:41
92E. KuznetsovC000000.000042016:06
77T. OshieR000-120.1430010015:46
20L. EllerC000-100.023105015:40
25D. Smith-PellyR101+250.24300—15:38
13J. VranaL000-110.0700010015:17
83J. BeagleC011+200.012005013:53
4T. ChorneyD011+100.00130—13:28
39A. ChiassonR101+110.26200—13:11
43T. WilsonR000-130.17202—13:11
22M. BoweyD000-120.02200—13:06
10B. ConnollyR000-100.07120—12:45
18C. StephensonC011+110.11000009:53
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)38344.8954.10+0.1061:57

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).