Skip to content
Senators at Islanders
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸6
New York Islanders
5
FinalTV MSG+, TSN5·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Islanders 6-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 5-5 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Dzingel's goal at 1:38 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 50% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were OTT 35, NYI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Dzingel (2 G), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G, 2 A), 3. Anders Lee (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    R. Dzingel2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT311214110635
NYINYI29316012537

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    R. Dzingel(7)
    N. Thompson (4)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:32
  2. OTT
    Z. Smith(1)
    M. Duchene (7)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    9:41
  3. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(3)
    J. Chimera (4), C. Clutterbuck (5)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    12:13
  4. NYI
    A. Lee(14)PPG
    J. Bailey (24), N. Leddy (15)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    14:27
  5. OTT
    B. Ryan(1)
    D. Phaneuf (7)
    deflectedxG 0.30win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    18:55

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(15)
    J. Tavares (13), J. Bailey (25)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    3:01
  2. NYI
    A. Ladd(7)
    J. Eberle (9)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    3-4
    4:17
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot(1)
    B. Ryan (7), M. Stone (11)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    4-4
    8:26
  4. NYI
    J. Chimera(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    4-5
    8:40
  5. OTT
    M. Hoffman(9)PPG
    T. Chabot (4), C. Ceci (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    5-5
    11:49

3rd period

  1. OTT
    R. Dzingel(8)PPG
    T. Chabot (5), D. Phaneuf (8)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +23 pts
    6-5
    1:38

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:58OTTserved by R. Dzingel · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:42OTTMike Hoffman · Illegal check to headdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 15:17OTTDerick Brassard · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

2nd

  • 9:50NYIJohn Tavares · Hookingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 19:50NYIJohnny Boychuk · Holdingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

3rd

  • 13:25NYINick Leddy · Slashingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalOTT goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Dzingel, 3rd 1:38 — OTT 50% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.32A. Ladd · Goal · xG 0.28A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.26B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.22J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.20C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.19J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.17N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.16J. Chimera · Goal · xG 0.15M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.14J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.05J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ho-Sang · Missed · xG 0.02D. Seidenberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 3.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYI
3.26 G
All situations
5 G3.8
2.24 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.92 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT41%59%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 3.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYI
35
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
95M. DucheneC011+120.332105923:01
65E. KarlssonD000-340.50110—22:25
5C. CeciD011+230.10020—22:23
61M. StoneR011+120.03210—21:10
15Z. SmithC101+160.421006720:56
2D. PhaneufD022+210.08320—20:55
29J. OduyaD000000.04210—19:49
68M. HoffmanC101010.12112019:35
19D. BrassardC000+140.292023317:28
9B. RyanR112+120.35010—16:17
33F. ClaessonD000-100.00110—15:38
72T. ChabotD123010.14010—15:23
44J. PageauC000-220.162006713:34
10T. PyattL000-200.00010—11:56
17N. ThompsonC011000.001003811:11
18R. DzingelC202030.46200010:40
40G. DumontC000030.12200007:06
14A. BurrowsR000-110.0010010006:47
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Condon(W)191901.0001.70+1.7030:21
41C. Anderson18135.7222.06-2.9428:40

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).