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Islanders at Senators
NHL

New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸2
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV MSG+, CITY·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 8:06 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 65%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.0, OTT 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 24, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G), 3. Jordan Eberle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI091619224
OTTOTT0808116132

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(12)PPG
    J. Bailey (23), N. Leddy (13)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    8:06

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(9)
    N. Leddy (14), M. Barzal (17)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    2-0
    14:10
  2. OTT
    M. Duchene(5)PPG
    M. Stone (10), M. Hoffman (11)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    2-1
    15:39

Penalties

NYI 12 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:39OTTDion Phaneuf · Elbowingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 15:20OTTDerick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 18:23NYIScott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

2nd

  • 4:07NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 7:40OTTJohnny Oduya · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 10:00NYIJohnny Boychuk · Slashingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 12:33OTTFredrik Claesson · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 18:19NYICalvin de Haan · Interferencedrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

3rd

  • 2:39OTTAlexandre Burrows · Hookingdrawn by Joshua Ho-Sang2 min
  • 7:43NYIJordan Eberle · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Craig Anderson2 min
  • 15:31NYICal Clutterbuck · Slashingdrawn by Alexandre Burrows2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 2nd 8:06 — NYI 51% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.17M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.15D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.14T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.12M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oduya · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsOTT
2.02 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.21 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.91 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI46%54%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsOTT
24
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/5
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91J. TavaresC000030.321104823:10
14T. HickeyD000010.02110—20:09
2N. LeddyD022+120.06010—19:55
55J. BoychukD000+120.03122—19:35
50A. PelechD000010.04132—19:30
12J. BaileyR011010.25000—19:19
16A. LaddL000+110.12000—17:27
27A. LeeL101020.39010—17:22
13M. BarzalC011+120.071003316:53
42S. MayfieldD000000.00002—16:46
44C. de HaanD000000.00112—16:24
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.05312—15:05
7J. EberleR101+110.1700210014:32
29B. NelsonC000030.250105014:22
10A. QuineC000010.171104411:40
66J. Ho-SangR000010.06000—11:10
25J. ChimeraL000020.03200—09:34
53C. CizikasC000000.000007107:01
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)32311.9692.21+1.2159:58

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).