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Panthers at Sabres
NHL

Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV FS-F, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1. The Sabres scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ian McCoshen's goal at 3:50 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.8 to 1.1; shots on goal were FLA 31, BUF 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 24 of 25 (.960); Robin Lehner stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (3 A), 2. Roberto Luongo (24 saves, .960), 3. Robin Lehner (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau3 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    R. Luongo24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Lehner27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0811538431
BUFBUF1609010125

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(2)PPG
    V. Antipin (2), E. Kane (7)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    13:02

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Dadonov(7)
    A. Barkov (12), J. Huberdeau (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:52

3rd period

  1. FLA
    I. McCoshen(3)
    J. Huberdeau (13), E. Dadonov (9)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    3:50
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(5)EN
    J. Huberdeau (14), C. Sceviour (2)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:28
  3. FLA
    V. Trocheck(8)EN
    A. Ekblad (5)
    wristxG 0.46
    4-1
    18:45

Penalties

FLA 15 PIM·BUF 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:55BUFTaylor Fedun · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 12:00FLAColton Sceviour · Hookingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 18:33FLAKeith Yandle · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

2nd

  • 3:51BUFJake McCabe · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 9:39BUFMarco Scandella · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

3rd

  • 9:09BUFJordan Nolan · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Haley5 min
  • 9:09FLAMicheal Haley · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Nolan5 min
  • 9:09FLAMicheal Haley · High stickingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu2 min
  • 9:09BUFJordan Nolan · Roughingdrawn by Micheal Haley2 min
  • 20:00BUFNathan Beaulieu · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 20:00FLAMicheal Haley · Roughingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 20:00FLAMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalFLA goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Ian McCoshen, 3rd 3:50 — FLA 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16K. Okposo · Goal · xG 0.12J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.08S. Griffith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.03V. Antipin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Falk · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.02T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Falk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01V. Antipin · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00N. Baptiste · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 1.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBUF
3.82 G
All situations
1 G1.1
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G0.8
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA76%24%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 1.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBUF
31
Shots on goal
25
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
1/2
15
Penalty minutes
15
16
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3K. YandleD000+420.03012—23:53
5A. EkbladD011+310.01110—23:42
16A. BarkovC112+421.030104322:34
19M. MathesonD000020.07212—22:05
21V. TrocheckC101+130.780104420:43
11J. HuberdeauL033+350.23000—19:22
63E. DadonovL112+250.80000—19:17
13M. PysykD000000.00010—18:48
71R. VrbataR000010.0701010015:33
88J. McGinnL000000.13300—15:22
7C. SceviourC011+210.08022014:38
52M. WeegarD000010.04110—14:36
12I. McCoshenD101+110.01000—14:25
27N. BjugstadC000050.460003313:25
17D. MacKenzieC000010.022003310:30
23C. BrickleyL000000.00000—10:06
73D. HuntL000000.00310—10:03
18M. HaleyL000010.05409—07:56
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(W)25241.9601.11+0.1160:00

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).