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Blackhawks at Avalanche
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCH·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 15:20 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 70% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 42, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 7 of 8 (.875), 0.5 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 39 of 42 (.929). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Bernier (39 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Bernier39 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI08213121342
COLCOL31321015628

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:24
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    15:20
  3. COL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    19:56

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    2:56
  2. COL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    6:44
  3. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    7:53
  4. CHI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    14:05

3rd period

  1. COL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    8:45
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.14
    3-6
    15:05

Penalties

CHI 12 PIM·COL 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:58COLTyson Barrie · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:52COLPatrik Nemeth · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 11:50CHIMichal Kempny · Holdingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 14:22CHIJan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 19:24CHIRyan Hartman · High sticking double minordrawn by Erik Johnson4 min

2nd

  • 3:10COLA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Brent Seabrook2 min
  • 3:10CHIBrent Seabrook · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 8:29COLBlake Comeau · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Sharp2 min
  • 19:27CHIJonathan Toews · Trippingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min

3rd

  • 9:30COLNail Yakupov · High stickingdrawn by Tommy Wingels2 min
  • 12:10COLAndrei Mironov · Clippingdrawn by Lance Bouma2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCHI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 1st 15:20 — COL 70% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.55N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.17M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.13S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.09N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.08M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04S. Andrighetto · Goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.02S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01
COL6 G · 2.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCOL
3.13 G
All situations
6 G2.5
2.23 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI71%29%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCOL
42
Shots on goal
28
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/5
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
12
11
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
19
2
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000-250.16200—28:36
7B. SeabrookD000-140.12132—21:51
44J. RuttaD000-130.24012—21:25
8N. SchmaltzC101-130.230105020:53
19J. ToewsC000000.000026720:27
88P. KaneR000-240.17000—19:49
6M. KempnyD022+220.03112—19:24
11C. FransonD000+130.12100—18:52
20B. SaadL000020.520005018:13
15A. AnisimovC101+140.101006217:20
14R. PanikR000020.47000—14:49
10P. SharpL000010.1000010014:11
40J. HaydenC011000.132007513:23
12A. DeBrincatR011-120.0521010012:12
57T. WingelsC011-130.180004509:57
17L. BoumaL011+100.00000—08:44
38R. HartmanR101040.4701410008:30
42G. ForslingD000-100.00110—05:13
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford871.8750.49-0.5129:59
31A. Forsberg(L)20155.7501.42-3.5826:42

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).