Skip to content

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
· NBC· Paycor Stadium

Market

Book
-3.5
o47.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Cincinnati Bengals is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
+1.1
Bengals
Win prob
53%
Steelers
Likely range
-18 to 15
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1385 − 1515 = -5.2 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
-3.3 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
-1.1 Bengals

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Steelers
Away
Our rating
1515#18
FPI rank
#212026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Bengals
Home
Our rating
1385#26
FPI rank
#112026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 5 meetings

Bengals 2–3
  • 2025 wk 11Bengals at Steelers1234Steelers
  • 2025 wk 7Steelers at Bengals3133Bengals
  • 2024 wk 18Bengals at Steelers1917Bengals
  • 2024 wk 13Steelers at Bengals4438Steelers
  • 2023 wk 16Bengals at Steelers1134Steelers

From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

PIT @ CIN
Sign in to join the chat.