BYU at Arizona State: too close to call

This isn't a summer guess and it isn't a final report card on the season. It's a read taken right now, in week 13, that starts with what we expected from each team back in August and then bends hard toward what they've actually put on tape. Take Arizona State. Coming into the year, the smart read had them below average — a team you'd have picked against. Ten games later, the Sun Devils have played themselves up into a genuinely good outfit, and the honest middle ground lands them as a clearly above-average team. That's a firmer read than anything you'd trust in September, but it's still part expectation and part proof, and that's exactly why the margin for error stays wide.