Cubs at Mariners
Last play · Rob Refsnyder strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
CHC 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 1 SEA
Tied through 5
Mariners favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Cowles singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jonathon Long scores. Owen Miller scores. (inning 6) — -24% Cubs
8Matt Halbach singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Jonathon Long scores. Owen Miller scores. Ben Cowles to 2nd.7–1
8Ben Cowles singles on a fly ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Leonel Espinoza scores. Jonathon Long to 3rd. Owen Miller to 2nd.5–1
6Ben Cowles singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jonathon Long scores. Owen Miller scores.4–1
6Dylan Carlson homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
2Rob Refsnyder called out on strikes.1–1
1Miguel Amaya singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Moisés Ballesteros scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






