Cubs at Padres
Last play · Derik Alcantara grounds out, third baseman Ryan Jackson to first baseman Romeo Sanabria.
Win probability
Padres100%
CHC 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 3 SD
Padres led after 5
Padres favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Castellanos singles on a ground ball to second baseman Scott Kingery. Miguel Andujar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd. (inning 3) — +12% Padres
3Ty France strikes out swinging. Jake Cronenworth scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd. Gavin Sheets to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Ben Brown.0–3
3Nick Castellanos singles on a ground ball to second baseman Scott Kingery. Miguel Andujar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.0–2
1Gavin Sheets walks. Miguel Andujar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Nick Castellanos to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






