Reds at Padres
Last play · Peyton Stovall grounds out, second baseman Clay Dungan to first baseman Romeo Sanabria.
Win probability
Padres100%
CIN 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 4 SD
Padres led after 5
Padres favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Merrill scores. Nick Castellanos scores. (inning 1) — +24% Padres
9Austin Callahan grounds out, second baseman Clay Dungan to first baseman Romeo Sanabria. Ruben Ibarra scores. Mason Neville to 3rd.3–14
8Romeo Sanabria homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Carlos Rodríguez scores. Nick Solak scores.2–14
8Nick Solak doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Shane Sasaki. Rodolfo Durán scores. Carlos Rodríguez to 3rd.2–11
8Carlos Rodríguez walks.2–10
8Rodolfo Durán singles on a ground ball to left fielder Shane Sasaki. Braedon Karpathios scores. Clay Dungan to 3rd.2–9
8Clay Dungan singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Austin Callahan. Francisco Acuna scores. Marcos Castañon to 3rd. Braedon Karpathios to 2nd.2–7
8Braedon Karpathios walks. Romeo Sanabria scores. Francisco Acuna to 3rd. Marcos Castañon to 2nd.2–6
7Nick Solak flies out to right fielder Yerlin Confidan.2–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






