Royals at Reds
Last play · Michael Toglia singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kameron Misner. Leo Balcazar scores. Cam Collier to 2nd.
Win probability
Reds100%
KC 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 3 CIN
Royals led after 5
Reds favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edwin Arroyo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Drew Waters. Sal Stewart scores. Leo Balcazar to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Reds
9Michael Toglia singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kameron Misner. Leo Balcazar scores. Cam Collier to 2nd.4–5
9Edwin Arroyo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Drew Waters. Sal Stewart scores. Leo Balcazar to 2nd.4–4
5Eugenio Suárez homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.4–3
5Elly De La Cruz homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.4–2
4Josh Rojas doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Kevin Newman scores. Josh Rojas to 3rd. Josh Rojas advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by right fielder Noelvi Marte.4–1
4Jac Caglianone homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
2TJ Friedl grounds into a force out, first baseman Nick Loftin to shortstop Kevin Newman. Tyler Stephenson scores. Noelvi Marte to 3rd. Dane Myers out at 2nd. TJ Friedl to 1st.2–1
2Josh Rojas homers (2) on a line drive to right center field. Michael Massey scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






