Padres at Mariners
Last play · Nick Solak strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
SD 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Mariners favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose F Miranda homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Acuna scores. (inning 7) — -36% Padres
9Jase Bowen grounds out, shortstop Leo Rivas to first baseman Connor Joe. Samad Taylor scores.4–7
8Lazaro Montes strikes out swinging.3–7
8Leo Rivas homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–6
7Connor Joe singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Solak. Will Wilson scores. Jonny Farmelo scores.3–5
7Jose F Miranda homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Acuna scores.3–3
6Romeo Sanabria homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
3Josh Naylor singles on a fly ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr., deflected by second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Jonny Farmelo scores.0–3
2Michael Arroyo homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Dominic Canzone scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






