Mariners at Cubs
Last play · Aiden Taurek flies out to left fielder Jose Escobar.
Win probability
Cubs100%
SEA 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Cubs favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Luke Raley. BJ Murray Jr. scores. Michael Busch scores. (inning 3) — +25% Cubs
8Colin Davis homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Jakson Reetz scores. Carson Taylor scores.4–7
7Jaylen Palmer walks. Scott Kingery scores. Jose Escobar to 3rd. Darlyn De Leon to 2nd.1–7
7Devin Ortiz doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Colin Davis. BJ Murray Jr. scores. Jefferson Rojas scores.1–6
7Chas McCormick homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–4
5Nico Hoerner flies into a sacrifice double play, center fielder Rhylan Thomas to first baseman Patrick Wisdom to shortstop Leo Rivas. Jefferson Rojas scores. Michael Busch out at 2nd.1–3
3Ian Happ doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Luke Raley. BJ Murray Jr. scores. Michael Busch scores.1–2
3Cole Young grounds out, shortstop Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Leo Rivas scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






