Orioles at Red Sox
Last play · Isaiah Jackson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
BAL 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 5 – 7 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Red Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jud Fabian grounds out, third baseman Max Ferguson to first baseman Andruw Monasterio. Enrique Bradfield Jr. scores. (inning 6) — -45% Orioles
6Jud Fabian grounds out, third baseman Max Ferguson to first baseman Andruw Monasterio. Enrique Bradfield Jr. scores.8–7
5Isiah Kiner-Falefa flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.5–7
5Heston Kjerstad singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kristian Campbell. Samuel Basallo scores.5–6
5Samuel Basallo hits a ground-rule double (2) on a fly ball to right-center field. Blaze Alexander scores. Dylan Beavers scores.4–6
5Colton Cowser grounds out to first baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Enrique Bradfield Jr. scores.2–6
3Allan Castro singles on a line drive to right fielder Enrique Bradfield Jr. Caleb Durbin scores. Marcelo Mayer scores. Allan Castro out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Enrique Bradfield Jr. to first baseman Ryan Noda to shortstop Blaze Alexander. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.1–6
3Willson Contreras homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Wilyer Abreu scores. Trevor Story scores.1–4
2Thairo Estrada grounds out, second baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Samuel Basallo scores. Heston Kjerstad to 3rd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






