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Twins at Red Sox

MIN2BOS4
Final
Inn123456789RHE
MIN000000011261
BOS00020110·494
Last play · Jake Rucker grounds out, second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Mickey Gasper.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIN 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
MIN 02 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Inning 4: Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to left fielder James Outman. Willson Contreras scores. Caleb Durbin scores. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd.Inning 6: Willson Contreras doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jarren Duran scores.Inning 7: Trevor Story singles on a line drive to right fielder Maddux Houghton. Starlyn Nunez scores.Inning 8: Luke Keaschall reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Vinny Capra. Kyle Hess scores.Inning 9: Ryan Kreidler reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa. David Bañuelos scores.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to left fielder James Outman. Willson Contreras scores. Caleb Durbin scores. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd. (inning 4) — +22% Red Sox

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.