Twins at Red Sox
Last play · Jake Rucker grounds out, second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Mickey Gasper.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIN 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to left fielder James Outman. Willson Contreras scores. Caleb Durbin scores. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd. (inning 4) — +22% Red Sox
9Ryan Kreidler reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa. David Bañuelos scores.2–4
8Luke Keaschall reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Vinny Capra. Kyle Hess scores.1–4
7Trevor Story singles on a line drive to right fielder Maddux Houghton. Starlyn Nunez scores.0–4
6Willson Contreras doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jarren Duran scores.0–3
4Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to left fielder James Outman. Willson Contreras scores. Caleb Durbin scores. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






