Twins at Rays
Last play · David Bañuelos grounds out, third baseman Jose Monzon to first baseman Will Simpson.
Win probability
Rays100%
MIN 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 1 TB
Tied through 5
Rays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chandler Simpson homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Ricardo Gonzalez scores. (inning 7) — +44% Rays
7Chandler Simpson homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Ricardo Gonzalez scores.2–3
6Ryan Jeffers homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
4Matt Wallner homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
3Jonathan Aranda homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






