Astros at Mets
Last play · Nick Lorusso pops out to second baseman Brice Matthews.
Win probability
Mets0%
HOU 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 5 NYM
Mets led after 5
Mets favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lucas Spence singles on a ground ball to left fielder Yohairo Cuevas. Carlos Pérez scores. Kellen Strahm to 3rd. Lucas Spence to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Astros
9Lucas Spence singles on a ground ball to left fielder Yohairo Cuevas. Carlos Pérez scores. Kellen Strahm to 3rd. Lucas Spence to 2nd.6–6
9Kellen Strahm grounds into a force out, third baseman Nick Lorusso to second baseman Yonny Hernández. Garret Guillemette scores. Carlos Pérez to 3rd. Jax Biggers out at 2nd. Kellen Strahm to 1st.5–6
7Carlos Pérez singles on a line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Taylor Trammell scores. Brice Matthews scores. CJ Alexander to 2nd.4–6
7Brice Matthews singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jose Ramos. Riley Unroe scores. Taylor Trammell to 2nd.2–6
6A.J. Ewing out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brice Matthews. Austin Barnes scores.1–6
4Zach Cole hit by pitch. Shay Whitcomb scores. Nick Allen to 3rd. Jeremy Peña to 2nd.1–5
2Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Zach Cole. Marcus Semien scores.0–5
1Ronny Mauricio homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






