Astros at Nationals
Last play · Jason Schiavone strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Nationals100%
HOU 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 0 WSH
Astros led after 5
Nationals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ronny Cruz homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Abimelec Ortiz scores. (inning 7) — +31% Nationals
7Ronny Cruz homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Abimelec Ortiz scores.1–3
7Drew Millas out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Justin Thomas Jr. Rafael Ramirez Jr. scores.1–1
5Cam Smith homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






