Blue Jays at Pirates
Last play · Je'Von Ward pops out to third baseman Alika Williams.
Win probability
Pirates100%
TOR 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Pirates favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — +16% Pirates
8Hunter Stovall singles on a line drive to right fielder Je'Von Ward. Alika Williams scores.3–8
8Cade Doughty grounds out, shortstop Mike Jarvis to first baseman Raymond Mola. Jay Harry scores.3–6
8Jay Harry triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Lonnie White Jr. Geovanny Planchart scores.2–6
6Oneil Cruz homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Alika Williams scores.1–6
6Alika Williams singles on a ground ball to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Konnor Griffin scores.1–4
5Nathan Lukes singles on a fly ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Andrés Giménez scores.1–3
4Alika Williams out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Henry Davis scores.0–3
4Spencer Horwitz homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






